The Iran Game - All Over Again 05-27-08 mpg Bush 'plans Iran air strike by August' War Alert - A quote...."NEW YORK - The George W Bush administration plans to launch an air strike against Iran within the next two months, an informed source tells Asia Times Online, echoing other reports that have surfaced in the media in the United States recently." We're now into the Bush administration's fourth or fifth cycle of ratcheting up pressure and making preparations for war against Iran. However, many of the articles currently being posted which would normally appear as War Warnings or Red War Warnings have been down-graded to just War Alerts, primarily because it appears that the Bush administration is losing momentum in their drive for war against Iran, along with the capability to carry out any truly effective attacks against that country. - i.e. they attack the Quds force....then what. Of course this may be Bush’s objective, to create an incident (false flag or otherwise), start the conflict and thereby trap the next likely presidential candidate in another rapidly escalating, totally pointless, but highly profitable war. This would be such an obvious and destructive ploy by the most unpopular lame duck president in this nation's history that it would seem to be unlikely. Nor does it appear likely that any more "fortuitous" events will be “arranged” anytime soon to allow our MIOC elites to launch another war while they attempt to finally seize dictatorial control of this country. The costs to the elites and chances of success at this point are both prohibitive and problematical. But things can and do change rather quickly, especially if the elites begin to feel desperate. A more likely explanation for the Bush administration's behavior is that they're feebly attempting to pre-position forces and capabilities which would allow them to launch what they believe will be a “successful”, "short-term”,” limited” , "symbolic" attack against Iran while reducing any chances of Iran's possible retaliation. If so they're completely insane. If this is what Bush’s henchman are thinking, such a plan of attack could only be interpreted as a pitiful public relations attempt to restore Bush’s "tarnished legacy" by pleasing AIPAC and the Repub's pro-war base. If this is the case, it would be a most singular and rare event, not only for its incredible, unbelievable, stupidity, but because it would also be the first time anybody in this government ever conducted an action that did not solely involve increasing profits for this nation's MIOC elites. However the seriousness of the Bush administration's intentions this time around are bolstered by five actions they have recently taken, actions that were not factors in prior cycles of war preparation and intimidation against Iran. One: Is the second attempt to eliminate Muqtada al-Sadr's party as an effective military or political force in Iraq in response to his recent promise last year to retaliate if US forces should attack Iran – Outcome; at this point it appears Maliki is in control, but since Maliki is supposedly allied more closely with Iran than even Muqtada al-Sadr (although Cheney thinks Maliki's a bought man) and because many speculate that Muqtada al-Sadr's forces are simply laying low while they re-equip, re-position, increase recruitment and wait for a better opportunity....it appears this action is at present, indeterminate. Two: The arranged attack against Hezbollah in Lebanon – Outcome; an abject, horrendous, abysmal, complete, unmitigated, totally cataclysmic failure for US and Israeli ambition's in the Middle East, the entire fiasco has immeasurably strengthened Hezbollah's military and political position in Lebanon for the foreseeable future. Three: The recent, publicly acknowledged negotiations between Syria and Israel regarding the Golan Heights – Outcome; no effect, Syria will not be tempted to distance itself from Iran by false promises of a return of the Golan Heights. Four: The recent preparations by the Gulf States to protect their populations from radioactive fall-out in the event a strike is made against Iran's Bushehr Nuclear Reactor – Outcome; potential mass terror and an economic catastrophe for the Gulf States, but it is unlikely that such an attack will occur against Bushehr for the same reasons. Five: The re-activation of the US's fourth fleet in the Caribbean to threaten Venezuela in the event they honor their commitment to Iran to cease oil shipments to the US should the US attack Iran – Outcome; at present no advantage, Venezuela is arming-up for this contingency while you read this blog. So it appears the Bush régime has gotten more serious in their intentions, but regretfully for them, they're also now substantially less capable in carrying out these woefully reduced plans of mayhem and murder as compared to those originally specified in the PNAC protocols. It therefore appears the MIOC elites and others in this country will simply have to be patient and settle for the standard plan of strengthening their position to launch a war against Iran in one to two years once the US’s ten year economic cycle comes to an end. This will only happen if the US enters a deflationary period instead of undergoing the predicted stagflationary or inflationary period. Such a deflationary outcome will only occur if the Federal Reserve soon "discovers" (no doubt right after the November elections) to their "horror" that their inflation numbers have been totally inaccurate (a fact every single economist has been well aware of for the last ten years) and regrettably they will therefore (to maintain dollar hegemony) proceed to raise interest rates at an unprecedented rate to tamp down what will soon become hyper-inflation. This will allow our elites to re-stimulate the economy by launching their next war against Iran, thus starting the whole ten year cycle all over again.....a highly profitable, and more importantly - predictable - arrangement our illustrious elites have been practicing for the last sixty years. - mpg For more on this issue see....Standard Disclaimer & Effective Fed Funds Rate 03-24-07 - mpg |